A few things you didn’t know about the 2019 Canadian Election

Half this election was the Bloc Quebecois

This election wasn’t very active in terms of seat handovers. Only 20% of seats (64) changed hands. Of the handovers that took place, nearly half of them were in Quebec, and a third were Bloc victories.

The NDP’s problems run deeper than Quebec

The NDP had a disastrous 2019, losing almost half of their seats. The reasons for this are probably very complicated. With this data alone we can’t get too deep into the “why” of this, but we can find more detail about the what.

A Unified Green-NDP Party might have done better, but it’s not clear

One idea I heard a lot this campaign was that the Green Party and NDP would do better if they merged. That would allow them to win more seats in ridings where the progressive vote was split, and they could focus more of their energy on challenging the larger parties rather than each other.

For the purposes of this graphic I’ve labelled both NDP and Green seats in the actual 43rd house as ‘GDP’.

Conservative control of the Prairies is even deeper than you think

I wondered if there was any pattern to ridings where one party is extremely dominant (60% or better vote share), but I wasn’t prepared for the starkness of the result.

Bonus: Seat Change Heatmap

I thought it might be clever to categorize all the seat handovers by their transition, e.g. all the seats that changed LPC -> CPC, all the changes LPC -> Bloc, and so on, and then plot the whole thing as a heatmap.



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Gareth MacLeod

Gareth MacLeod

CEO at Tinker, Blockchain, Waterloo & SF